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Dec 3, 2012
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but let me just say, john kerry, defense, bad idea. who you need in defense is someone who knows his or her way around the defense budget because there's going to be pain there. they're going to have to cut things. john kerry isn't that guy. he'd make a great secretary of state. the great thing about having panetta there is that he's an old budget guy. >> hey, i don't think panetta's leaving -- by the way, panetta's not in a hurry to leave. >> right. >> you know, he's not going to stay four years. i wouldn't be surprised if he stays almost all of the 2013 calendar year. >> here's the biggest difference between leon panetta and myself, i am very anxious to leave. >> i know you are. >> you're always anxious to leave. to take a nap. >> by the way, i have to root for alabama. this is like the hardest 40 whatever we're going to have, 35 days. to end up rooting for alabama. >> that was one of the greatest college games of all time. >> it was a fantastic game. >> and i have a real hook in for bcs tickets, chuck, if you want to talk to me late
but let me just say, john kerry, defense, bad idea. who you need in defense is someone who knows his or her way around the defense budget because there's going to be pain there. they're going to have to cut things. john kerry isn't that guy. he'd make a great secretary of state. the great thing about having panetta there is that he's an old budget guy. >> hey, i don't think panetta's leaving -- by the way, panetta's not in a hurry to leave. >> right. >> you know, he's not...
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Oct 15, 2012
10/12
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and john kerry somehow on the issue of the 2004 campaign was not acceptable. his position was incomprehensible. and i think that was a big part of the factor. he lost that campaign. >> and i'll tell you what. you're exactly right about mitt romney's performance. another great performance by mitt romney is going to have a real impact moving forward in the last couple of weeks. on the effort by the obama team to try to make him look unacceptable, like the romney team is trying to make the vice president look unacceptable. you saw -- if you're one of the 88 million people who wake up every morning to watch willie geist's "way too early," you saw "snl's" take on the vice president al's take. 88 million? 89 million? >> it changes on the day, but that's the average. >> i'm, of course, counting streaming and the armed forces radio and everything peelse. >> thank you. >> you saw the funny "snl" skit, their take on the vice presidential debate. team romney is now using the vice president's debate performance in a new ad. they're using it to make a point on spending and
and john kerry somehow on the issue of the 2004 campaign was not acceptable. his position was incomprehensible. and i think that was a big part of the factor. he lost that campaign. >> and i'll tell you what. you're exactly right about mitt romney's performance. another great performance by mitt romney is going to have a real impact moving forward in the last couple of weeks. on the effort by the obama team to try to make him look unacceptable, like the romney team is trying to make the...
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Dec 14, 2012
12/12
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want a susan rice, not a john kerry. you may feel like john kerry's my friend and who knows if i'm going to get access to susan rice, but john kerry is not your interventionist like susan rice is. >> no. >> if you want to harm rebels in libya or syria, susan rice. >> since you've been covering this so closely, take us through the evolution because president obama and the white house were so defiant. and remember that one press conference where he came out very sternly talking about how much he admired ambassador rice. how did we get to yesterday? was this all from susan rice, or was there a little nudge from the white house as well? >> well, it's unclear as to whether there was a nudge, but certainly she was reading the tea leaves. and it was pretty clear for the last two weeks that the president was not as forceful as he was on that day, november 14th. when john mccain had said very bluntly on the hill, she is not going to get confirmed, and the president then had his first news conference after being re-elected and jus
want a susan rice, not a john kerry. you may feel like john kerry's my friend and who knows if i'm going to get access to susan rice, but john kerry is not your interventionist like susan rice is. >> no. >> if you want to harm rebels in libya or syria, susan rice. >> since you've been covering this so closely, take us through the evolution because president obama and the white house were so defiant. and remember that one press conference where he came out very sternly talking...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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probably like the day after john kerry lost. >> are any of them changing their votes? >> what's that? >> are any of them changing their votes? >> no, not the democrats, but there are a hell of a lot of independents and swing voters that are sitting there asking whether the president's up to the task. >> 5%. >> over the next four years. >> even if he gets 20% based on that -- >> donny, the election's not over. go to the hamptons this weekend and don't wear socks with your italian loafers. >> i stopped after labor day. >> go to palm beach. have you guys ever, though, seen such a turnaround? >> no. >> spirit is the word. spirit's the word. >> it's just unbelievable. >> one of the things that i think is overlooked about why this could matter so much is these are both really politically appealing, talented guys. they wouldn't be where they were without it. we all know what was politically appealing and personally appealing about the president. we see it almost every day. even if you don't like him, you've got to respect his politically skills in wisconsin yesterday. romney
probably like the day after john kerry lost. >> are any of them changing their votes? >> what's that? >> are any of them changing their votes? >> no, not the democrats, but there are a hell of a lot of independents and swing voters that are sitting there asking whether the president's up to the task. >> 5%. >> over the next four years. >> even if he gets 20% based on that -- >> donny, the election's not over. go to the hamptons this weekend and...
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Nov 5, 2012
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bush held the same 48% to 47% lead over john kerry the day before the election. before that election. in battleground states including colorado, ohio, virginia, florida, and new hampshire president obama has a slight advantage. he leads romney 50% to 46%. when asked which candidate is best to improve the economy, romney leads by the president by five points. that's a closer margin than it was in mid-october. however, when asked which candidate is best for the middle class, the president has a double digit lead, 51% to 40%. there's good news for obama on his handling of hurricane sandy. 67% say they approve of the way the president dealt with the disaster hast week. >> that's showing up in the national polls, mika. i think it's also showing up in the battleground state polls where you have people who weren't affected by the storm but who saw the president's handling of the storm and standing there with chris christie in what could be one of the two iconic moments of this campaign. >> that's an interesting symbol to get back to it. back to the battlegrounds where t
bush held the same 48% to 47% lead over john kerry the day before the election. before that election. in battleground states including colorado, ohio, virginia, florida, and new hampshire president obama has a slight advantage. he leads romney 50% to 46%. when asked which candidate is best to improve the economy, romney leads by the president by five points. that's a closer margin than it was in mid-october. however, when asked which candidate is best for the middle class, the president has a...
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Nov 2, 2012
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remember john kerry four days out, first of all, they were making the same argument, hey, this is going to break. and when it breaks, it's all going to break our direction. well, kerry hit all of his turnout targets. but so did bush. and i have a feeling that we're in a situation where both sides are right. there's an enthusiastic republican vote out there that's going to show up in bigger numbers, and there is this durable coalition of voters thanks to census and population growth. and so yes, maybe there's not the same enthusiasm, but because of population growth, the african-american, hispanic numbers are going to be -- are going to sort of make it -- we're going to sort of two giant coalitions colliding, and it's going to lead to this very close race where the field organization's going to be the one-point difference in about five states. >> chuck, in terms of both presidential candidates, what do you think their floor and ceiling is in terms of the national popular vote? >> well, i think that the president is probably, i would say, just under 51% is the ceiling. and i'd say 48.5% i
remember john kerry four days out, first of all, they were making the same argument, hey, this is going to break. and when it breaks, it's all going to break our direction. well, kerry hit all of his turnout targets. but so did bush. and i have a feeling that we're in a situation where both sides are right. there's an enthusiastic republican vote out there that's going to show up in bigger numbers, and there is this durable coalition of voters thanks to census and population growth. and so yes,...
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Nov 6, 2012
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. >> and john kerry thought he'd won it. >> john kerry thought he'd won, as well. >> those two races, certainly, should give us all pause before walking in to tonight's coverage thinking we know who's going to win before the voters. >> joe, i'm so glad you said that because the coverage this morning already has been pretty much in the direction, listen, it's obama's to lose here. he's probably going to win it. all the polls show one thing going one direction. but it's election, time for spin and chatter analysis is over. now the people -- >> just cover it. >> you can lay out a plan that romney wins this election, and i'll be honest with you as i always try to be. something in my gut tells me that it's going to be a good day for romney. but as a reporter, you don't report your gut. the polls all indicate, yes, obama, he has several paths to victory, romney has only one, but don't taunt the alligator until after you cross the creek. >> another one. >> if obama gets his vote out, i agree he probably wins, but there's some doubt in my mind that he's going to get his vote totally out. and
. >> and john kerry thought he'd won it. >> john kerry thought he'd won, as well. >> those two races, certainly, should give us all pause before walking in to tonight's coverage thinking we know who's going to win before the voters. >> joe, i'm so glad you said that because the coverage this morning already has been pretty much in the direction, listen, it's obama's to lose here. he's probably going to win it. all the polls show one thing going one direction. but it's...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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i have a hard time seeing john kerry get the job he wants and replacing hillary clinton because that would open up a senate seat and presumably scott brown of massachusetts would slide in. i think the interesting one is treasury. jack lew obviously is a good candidate. one thing bouncing around the sphere is mitt romney who has experience there. but, you know, i think it's going to be hard to -- hard to see where the chips fall. obviously you want someone with a bit of outreach to wall street, but, you know, someone like a tony james, a private equity executive who is tied with the democrat, it's hard to see after this race and mitt romney having been the opponent, a guy like that fitting in. certainly somebody -- >> you need to head it where do you go in the blogosphere, i think. be careful. >> okay. okay. yeah. well, i'm not -- i'm not predicting romney but he's one of the most interesting names out there. but certainly somebody -- another serious name who could deal with fiscal cliff. >> that would be a great man. >> the state thing is interesting because as josh says, you know, t
i have a hard time seeing john kerry get the job he wants and replacing hillary clinton because that would open up a senate seat and presumably scott brown of massachusetts would slide in. i think the interesting one is treasury. jack lew obviously is a good candidate. one thing bouncing around the sphere is mitt romney who has experience there. but, you know, i think it's going to be hard to -- hard to see where the chips fall. obviously you want someone with a bit of outreach to wall street,...
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Nov 21, 2012
11/12
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. >> you're doing the john kerry if we picked up a basketball -- are we going to say if we picked up a mow to speed cross way attracted baja -- >> dude -- >> the winners are not the geniuses that the press set them up to be and our losers and fellow republican officials are not like the reject disaster campaigns -- >> man -- >> they're labeling mitt romney as. i'm struck by the unleashing on him. >> first of all -- >> i am too -- >> first of all, mitt romney, if he had gone quietly into that dark night, would not have been pounded as hard. >> of course. >> but mitt romney comes out and doubles down on his 47% remarks, when he confirms everybody's worst suspicions, including small government republicans who were distrustful of huge corporations. >> yeah. >> he doesn't help his cause. >> no. >> i believe you are right in that he doesn't help his cause. however, be all these guys, let's -- i'm talking about the ones i'm most struck by are the republican office holders who were -- i'm not going to. i'm not -- >> hold on. republican governors. why don't you say republican governors. >> re
. >> you're doing the john kerry if we picked up a basketball -- are we going to say if we picked up a mow to speed cross way attracted baja -- >> dude -- >> the winners are not the geniuses that the press set them up to be and our losers and fellow republican officials are not like the reject disaster campaigns -- >> man -- >> they're labeling mitt romney as. i'm struck by the unleashing on him. >> first of all -- >> i am too -- >> first of all,...
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Dec 27, 2012
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richard haass, i mean, i can't square that up with john kerry where john kerry's coming from. >> i can't square up that editorial. the surge in afghanistan seems to me to be one of the more ill-advised things the united states has done over the last few years. plus engagement is fine to try. we ought to, for example, try a negotiated approach to iran right now on the nuclear issue. it's often important to check that box. either you get a successful diplomatic outcome or then you move on. but engagement can give you clarity. there's nothing wrong in trying that. you've also just got to know when it's time to move on. and by the way, you want your secretary of state to do. he is the person who ought to be taking the lead in diplomacy. quite honestly, i don't understand that editorial. >> i haven't read that editorial, honestly, but the idea that you'd frown upon a secretary of state who actually has established a dialogue, at whatever level, a dialogue with another head of state rather than just totally ignoring and isolating that head of state, particularly in syria, seems to me kind of o
richard haass, i mean, i can't square that up with john kerry where john kerry's coming from. >> i can't square up that editorial. the surge in afghanistan seems to me to be one of the more ill-advised things the united states has done over the last few years. plus engagement is fine to try. we ought to, for example, try a negotiated approach to iran right now on the nuclear issue. it's often important to check that box. either you get a successful diplomatic outcome or then you move on....
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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so i think he came out so strongly, so when he doesn't appoint her and goes with someone like john kerry or tom donilon, his defense is already on record. and he didn't have to relitigate that in the press. >> i'll tell you what i saw yesterday, issue aside, i saw a president with a heightened level of testosterone gravitas, and maybe a precursor of what he's going to look like for the next four years. obviously, he's been going toe to toe. but there was an authority. i'm going to keep using the world testosterone, i thought a lot of that was missing in the first term. i saw that in a public volley eight days later. >> he spoke quickly in that press conference. did you notice? it's the fastest i've ever heard him speak, we got accustomed to a very slow methodic, kind of elongated speech pattern. handy came out, he was rapid, he was quick. >> he said, you got a problem, come to me. >> i found that very interesting. >> richard, what are you hearing, as the most connected in the intelligence community, at this table, certainly, about an outcome with his benghazi investigation? where this he
so i think he came out so strongly, so when he doesn't appoint her and goes with someone like john kerry or tom donilon, his defense is already on record. and he didn't have to relitigate that in the press. >> i'll tell you what i saw yesterday, issue aside, i saw a president with a heightened level of testosterone gravitas, and maybe a precursor of what he's going to look like for the next four years. obviously, he's been going toe to toe. but there was an authority. i'm going to keep...
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Nov 14, 2012
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kerry to his cabinet, senator brown is rumored to be a contender for massachusetts governor in had 2014. but brown insists his immediate future is focused outside of politics. >> there's no vacancy that i'm aware of and my biggest job now is to make sure there's a smooth transition from my office to the senator elect's office. there's not an opening right now for governor nor is there an opening for senator. but there is an opening for a dad and a husband, and that's the role that i want to play. >> wrote today about the future of conservatism. you say the challenge between self-reflection and cannibalization. >> for all the talk of the civil war within the gop, i just don't see it and it certainly doesn't have to happen. i think self-reflex is good and conservatives need to talk about what just happened. they also need to remember that they didn't bother explaining to anyone over the past four years why conservative politics work. they were on defense for four queers talking about obama this, obama care that. they didn't explain why their policies were better. that's what conservatives
kerry to his cabinet, senator brown is rumored to be a contender for massachusetts governor in had 2014. but brown insists his immediate future is focused outside of politics. >> there's no vacancy that i'm aware of and my biggest job now is to make sure there's a smooth transition from my office to the senator elect's office. there's not an opening right now for governor nor is there an opening for senator. but there is an opening for a dad and a husband, and that's the role that i want...
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Jul 26, 2012
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in 2004, john kerry lost but something fundamental happened. on the one hand you had the swift boat veterans for truth. then you had george soros. kerry lost but when rove looks at the campaign he was running a hell of an offense. a really interesting and new dynamic was happening. what rove saw was the groups were wing nut groups. you had a single billionaire with a single issue like soros who was financing stuff without political polish and then you had folks moving really far to the right. rove thought, what if i get between the money and the expertise? what if i sut here and talk to people like steve wynn who is in our story. a lot of texas connections, washington connections and say, guys, i know you want to get involved in the process. you have a vested interest. give me the money. i will take care of the messaging. i know how to do ad buys and have an impact. who would you give your money to? >> exactly. >> it's a great idea. >> they called him bush's brain. you look at what he was able to do with george w. bush. is his power now doubled
in 2004, john kerry lost but something fundamental happened. on the one hand you had the swift boat veterans for truth. then you had george soros. kerry lost but when rove looks at the campaign he was running a hell of an offense. a really interesting and new dynamic was happening. what rove saw was the groups were wing nut groups. you had a single billionaire with a single issue like soros who was financing stuff without political polish and then you had folks moving really far to the right....
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Oct 24, 2012
10/12
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and wisconsin went for john kerry by 11,000 votes. those states have historically tended to vote together. so if romney is able to break through in one of those states, it may mean that he could break three this both. >> another state chuck has been talking about, colorado. what do the trend lines look like there? >> well, romney's up. a little bit. we have some -- this is a state we have -- one poll showing obama up by three points. another poll showing romney up. balance of the evidence now shows that romney has a very small lead there. i hi as chuck mentioned in ohio, in -- colorado, you mentioned earlier, joe, same thing. both democrats and republicans feel like they are winning. and -- it is a situation where, you know, it is going to come down the latino vote, 21%. in colorado. also, you know, suburban vote which is where lit come down to in a lot of the swing states. >> did you know also this year will be extraordinarily close. the closest election most likely since 2000. and the states are in elections like that even new hamps
and wisconsin went for john kerry by 11,000 votes. those states have historically tended to vote together. so if romney is able to break through in one of those states, it may mean that he could break three this both. >> another state chuck has been talking about, colorado. what do the trend lines look like there? >> well, romney's up. a little bit. we have some -- this is a state we have -- one poll showing obama up by three points. another poll showing romney up. balance of the...
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Oct 26, 2012
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we saw that with john kerry in 2004. i think -- here's the thing. i wouldn't be surprised if romney is overdone a little bit in the exit poll. if he overperforms with the real vote is because don't forget election-day voters are going to be more republican than democrat because democrats have done so much of the early vote. and we compensate for it. we do our best to survey it and all that, but don't discount the enthusiasm issue that ends up overcounting some exit poll votes. and i don't buy the bradley effect on an incumbent anymore. i just don't. not an incumbent. >> we will see. i will tell you, mika, the romney campaign has expressed concern about what david said, and that is the mormon effect. what i tell them is i think they're dead right, and that means that they're probably going to only win oklahoma by 39% instead of 41%. that's something they do need to work on. utah. >> reporter: they're going to only carry every county in oklahoma is what you're saying. >> exactly. >> the president had a great -- >> but southern ohio would be the one pl
we saw that with john kerry in 2004. i think -- here's the thing. i wouldn't be surprised if romney is overdone a little bit in the exit poll. if he overperforms with the real vote is because don't forget election-day voters are going to be more republican than democrat because democrats have done so much of the early vote. and we compensate for it. we do our best to survey it and all that, but don't discount the enthusiasm issue that ends up overcounting some exit poll votes. and i don't buy...
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Oct 23, 2012
10/12
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his statements are too inconsistent, much like george bush and john kerry. >> i think you may have seen with the president a man who believed that his opponent was unworthy. >> yeah. >> and these flip-flops on foreign policy -- >> just like bush and kerry. >> hey, tom, mark brings up a great point, and i wonder what it means about the internal polls that barack obama's team are looking at. but, i was really surprised by this president on every single answer would answer -- talked about his policy, pivot, turn to mitt romney and rhetorically punch him in the face. every single question. and as mark said, he's ahead right now. even if it's by a small margin, he's president of the united states. why did he -- why do you think he did that? do you think it was a personal thing or do you think it was political that they said, hey, we really need to disqualify this guy the momentum's on romney's side. >> i think it was a combination of the two. i think when the full realization of how poorly he performed in denver washed up over top of him and hearing it from everyone knew he had to fight back
his statements are too inconsistent, much like george bush and john kerry. >> i think you may have seen with the president a man who believed that his opponent was unworthy. >> yeah. >> and these flip-flops on foreign policy -- >> just like bush and kerry. >> hey, tom, mark brings up a great point, and i wonder what it means about the internal polls that barack obama's team are looking at. but, i was really surprised by this president on every single answer would...
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Oct 30, 2012
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barack obama was more orderly than john mccain. george w. bush was more orderly than john kerry. and so if i'm a candidate this year, i'm trying to reassure people i'm the guy who can help you out when forces much bigger than you come in and give you a big wallop. >> you said a minute ago, you're not quite sure where mitt romney's soul is, and i think a lot of people, republicans included would agree with you about that. is he socially conservative? is he the massachusetts moderate? is he a small-government conservative? does that trouble you about what kind of president he would be? in other words, if we don't know who he is now, should we worry about who he would be if he got into office? >> yeah. it does trouble me. it disturbs me about how many different shapes he's taken. from a sheer management perspective. if you work in the reagan administration, if you started meeting at the deputy's level, you know what the president wants already, so you figure out how to enact what he basically wants. if you work for a president who doesn't know what he wants, then every policy decisi
barack obama was more orderly than john mccain. george w. bush was more orderly than john kerry. and so if i'm a candidate this year, i'm trying to reassure people i'm the guy who can help you out when forces much bigger than you come in and give you a big wallop. >> you said a minute ago, you're not quite sure where mitt romney's soul is, and i think a lot of people, republicans included would agree with you about that. is he socially conservative? is he the massachusetts moderate? is he...